November 9
Favorite Safety
Underdog chances shown as evidence of favorite risk, not as bets.
Safer Favorites
6Favorites the model rates hardest to flip. Low upset chance, few warning signs.
Minor notes: Pistons on a back-to-back; Pistons missing 2 players.
Minor notes: Spurs missing 2 players.
Minor notes: Cavaliers missing 2 players.
Minor notes: Warriors missing 4 players; big money is backing the underdog.
Minor notes: Rockets missing 3 players; big money is backing the underdog.
Minor notes: Raptors missing 2 players.
Upset Risk
2Favorites showing warning signs. Consider passing on these games.
Warning signs: Hawks missing 5 players.
Warning signs: Mavericks on a back-to-back; Mavericks missing 3 players.
Slate by window
Every game in tip-off order, grouped by when it starts. Underdog results fill in window by window as the slate plays out. Star ratings rate prominence only and ignore these windows.
Early
4 games · 4:00 PM PTBefore 5:00 PM PT
Lakers+101+1.5 · alt +12Hawks-120-1.5 · alt +9Cavaliers-337-8.5 · alt +1
Hornets+270+8.5 · alt +18
Wizards+376+10.5 · alt +20Pistons-490-10.5 · alt -1
Grizzlies+125+3.5 · alt +13.5Raptors-148-3.5 · alt +6.5Prime time
3 games · 5:00 PM PT5:00 – 7:00 PM PT
Pacers+136+3.5 · alt +13.5Mavericks-161-3.5 · alt +6.5
Nuggets+276+9.5 · alt +19Rockets-344-9.5 · alt 0Spurs-359-8.5 · alt +1.5
Suns+286+8.5 · alt +18.5Late
1 game · 7:00 PM PT7:00 PM PT and later
Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. NBA Slate is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook.