Locked before tipoff. Never edited afterwards.
Results
Prediction accuracy
67%
95 of 142 winners
Underdog picks
41%
21 of 51 won
Upsets
39 / 48.0
Actual / predicted
Underdogs covered
46%
65 of 141 vs the spread
Upset picks
41%
16 of 39 won · target 30%
Profit, upset picks
-1.2u
1 unit per upset pick
Profit, underdog picks
-4.0u
1 unit per pick. Accuracy isn't profit.
Accuracy trend
Based on 142 graded games across 18 days.
Past Slates
Sun, Nov 8
2 upsets · 1.7 expected
6/7 correct
Sat, Nov 7
1 upsets · 1.8 expected
7/7 correct
Fri, Nov 6
1 upsets · 2.8 expected
6/9 correct
Thu, Nov 5
0 upsets · 0.9 expected
1/2 correct
Wed, Nov 4
4 upsets · 4.3 expected
9/14 correct
Mon, Nov 2
5 upsets · 4.7 expected
10/14 correct
Sun, Nov 1
1 upsets · 1.7 expected
2/4 correct
Sat, Oct 31
1 upsets · 2.4 expected
4/7 correct
Fri, Oct 30
5 upsets · 3.5 expected
6/10 correct
Thu, Oct 29
1 upsets · 1.1 expected
1/3 correct
Wed, Oct 28
4 upsets · 4.2 expected
8/12 correct
Tue, Oct 27
1 upsets · 1.2 expected
4/4 correct
Mon, Oct 26
3 upsets · 3.2 expected
5/9 correct
Sun, Oct 25
1 upsets · 2.4 expected
4/7 correct
Sat, Oct 24
2 upsets · 2.3 expected
6/8 correct
Fri, Oct 23
5 upsets · 4.7 expected
7/12 correct
Thu, Oct 22
0 upsets · 0.7 expected
1/2 correct
Wed, Oct 21
2 upsets · 4.4 expected
8/11 correct