NBA Slate · Wednesday
October 28
12 Games
4Upsets
Underdogs won so far4 / 12 final
Underdogs covered the spread7 / 12 · 58%
Mavericks +160 · Warriors +142 · Lakers -108 · Heat +114
Right on pace with the projection.
Model confidence: Calibrating$47M of market money on the slateUpdated 12 days ago
Results by window
Every game in tip-off order, grouped by when it starts. Underdog results fill in window by window as the slate plays out. Star ratings rate prominence only and ignore these windows.
Early
5 games · 4:00 PM PTBefore 5:00 PM PT · 1 of 5 underdogs won
Heat129
Hawks11711% of slate money · $5.3M traded · Heavy
Final
Upset risk · MIA
ATL 51%
Correct
Wizards111
Cavaliers1216% of slate money · $2.7M traded · Light
Final
CLE 77%
Correct
Hornets89
Pistons975% of slate money · $2.4M traded · Light
Final
Upset risk · CHA
DET 69%
Missed
76ers114
Pacers10910% of slate money · $4.4M traded · Normal
Final
PHI 71%
Correct
Magic99
Raptors1298% of slate money · $3.9M traded · Normal
Final
TOR 63%
Correct
Prime time
6 games · 5:00 PM PT5:00 – 7:00 PM PT · 2 of 6 underdogs won
Knicks133
Bulls1276% of slate money · $2.7M traded · Light
Final
Upset risk · CHI
NY 67%
Missed
Rockets132
Bucks1004% of slate money · $1.9M traded · Light
Final
HOU 74%
Correct
Warriors119
Timberwolves1149% of slate money · $4.1M traded · Normal
Final
Upset risk · GS
MIN 56%
Correct
Nuggets104
Pelicans917% of slate money · $3.1M traded · Normal
Final
DEN 62%
Correct
Spurs117
Jazz11110% of slate money · $4.5M traded · Normal
Final
SA 80%
Correct
Thunder96
Mavericks12013% of slate money · $5.9M traded · Heavy
Final
OKC 62%
Missed
Late
1 game · 7:30 PM PT7:00 PM PT and later · 1 of 1 underdog won
Probabilities are estimates, not guarantees. NBA Slate is an analytics tool, not a sportsbook.

